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Thursday, August 28, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 28 2008

AUG 28 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 370 , S2 RS 367

R1 RS 378 , R2 RS 383

STAY LONG.

Gasoline inventories are projected to fall

2.9 million barrels , a fifth straight weekly

decline , as refiners were seen drawing down

inventories of summer grade gasoline.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 27 2008

AUG 27 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

SUPPORT 1 RS 367 , SUPPORT 2 RS 363

RESISTENCE 1 RS 373 , RESISTENCE 2 RS 377

STAY LONG

Gasoline for September delivery climbed 9.12 cents

or 3.2 % to $ 29735 a gallom in New York.

Thw hurricane , located 120 Kms south - south east

of the Haitian capital , Port Au Prince was heading

north west. Forecast from the hurricane centre show

Gustav striking Haiti later in the day.

Friday, August 22, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 22 2008

AUG 22 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 361, S2 RS 357

R1 RS 368 , R2 RS 373

BUY AT RS 361.50 TO 361

STOP LOSS RS 357

TARGET RS 368

Crude oil is headed for its biggest weekly increase in

more than two months after rising almost 5 percent

yesterday as the dollar slumped, prompting

investors to buy commodities.

The dollar traded at $1.4866 per euro at 11:24 a.m. in

Singapore. It dropped 1 percent yesterday and touched

$1.4903, the weakest level since Aug. 14 and the biggest

fall since June. The dollar has risen 4.8 percent versus the

euro in August, which would be the biggest monthly

gain since May 2001.


Thursday, August 21, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 21 2008

AUG 21 THURSDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH

LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH

S1 RS 355 , S2 RS 351

R1 RS 362, R2 RS 365

SELL AT RS 361.50 TO 362

STOP LOSS RS 365

TARGET RS 355

Oil Gains a Third Day on U.S.-Russia Tensions, Gasoline Supply .

Gasoline demand in the U.S. peaks during the summer,

when Americans take to the highways for vacations. The

so-called driving season lasts from the Memorial Day

weekend in late May to Labor Day in early September.

U.S. fuel demand averaged 20.2 million barrels a day

during the past four weeks, down 3 percent from a

year earlier, the department said. Gasoline

consumption averaged 9.46 million barrels a day

over the period, down 1.6 percent.

Refineries operated at 85.7 percent of capacity in the

week ended Aug. 15, down 0.2 percentage point from

the week before and the lowest since the week ended

May 2, the report showed.

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 20 2008

AUG 20 WEDNESDAY



SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS



LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH



S1 RS 350.60 , S2 RS 341

R1 RS 356, R2 RS 360

WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

U.S. supplies of gasoline probably fell 3 million barrels last week

from 202.8 million barrels the previous week, according to

the median of 13 responses in a Bloomberg News survey

of analysts. The Energy Department is scheduled to

release the report at 10:35 a.m. in Washington.

Gasoline for September delivery rose 1.81 cents, or

0.6 percent, to $2.8820 a gallon on the Nymex at

11:15 a.m. Singapore time. It rose 4.87 cents, or

1.7 percent, yesterday to settle at $2.8639 a gallon

in New York. Futures reached a record $3.631 a

gallon on July 11.

Inventories of crude oil probably rose 1.05 million barrels in

the week ended Aug. 15, the survey showed. Stockpiles

of distillate fuel, including heating oil and diesel, probably

gained 1 million barrels.









Wednesday, August 13, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 13 2008

AUG 13 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 346

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 530

S1 RS 352, S2 RS 348, S3 RS 343

R1 RS 358, R2 RS 363, R3 RS 367

PREFER SHORT AT RS 358 TO 358.30

STOP LOSS RS 363

TARGET RS 351

Natural Gas Is Steady as Crude Oil Slips, U.S. Dollar Holds .

Natural gas in New York was little changed, erasing an

earlier advance, as crude oil slipped to a 14-week low

and the dollar held against the euro.

Oil fell more than $1 a barrel and the dollar was steady at

$1.4923 per euro at 2:36 p.m. in New York, from $1.4909

yesterday. It earlier touched $1.4816, the strongest since

Feb. 26. A stronger dollar prompts investors using

commodities as an inflation hedge to exit the market.

Natural gas for September delivery fell 1.9 cents to settle

at $8.33 per million British thermal units at 3:05 p.m. on

the New York Mercantile Exchange. It earlier rose as high

as $8.489 per million Btu and has dropped 38 percent

since closing at $13.577 on July 3, the highest in 30

months.

Crude oil for September delivery slid $1.44, or 1.3 percent,

to settle at $113.01 a barrel in New York. Futures touched

$112.31 today, the lowest close since May 1, and climbed as

high as $115.95. Oil climbed to a record $147.27 on July 11.

Inventories gained 56 billion cubic feet in the week ended

Aug. 8, according to the median of seven analyst

estimates complied by Bloomberg. The average change

for this time of year over the past five is an increase

of 50 billion.

The Energy Department is scheduled to release its weekly

supply update on Aug. 14 at 10:35 a.m. in Washington.

Domestic gas output is expected to increase by 8 percent this

year, the Energy Department said in its monthly Short-Term

Energy Outlook released on July 8. The next report is

due on Aug. 12.

U.S. gas prices may average $9 per million British thermal units in

2009, the analysts said. The 2009 average price for futures

today is $9.244 per million Btu, according to data

compiled by Bloomberg.










Friday, August 8, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 8 2008

AUG 8 FRIDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 353

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH: TARGET RS 530

S1 RS 358, S2 RS 355, S3 RS 353

R1 RS 362.50, R2 RS 365, R3 RS 368

PREFER SHORT AT RS 362.50 TO 363

STOP LOSS RS 365

TARGET RS 358

Natural Gas Falls on Above-Average Supply Gain, Milder Weather .

Natural gas in New York fell after a government report showed

inventories rose more than average for this time of year and on

forecasts for milder weather.

Stockpiles increased 56 billion cubic feet in the week ended Aug. 1,

to 2.517 trillion cubic feet, the U.S. Energy Department said in a

report today. The average change for this time of year over

the past five is 50 billion cubic feet. Analysts expected an

increase of 62 billion cubic feet.

Natural gas for September delivery fell 21.4 cents, or 2.4 percent,

to $8.559 per million British thermal units at the 2:30 p.m,

close of floor trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Futures have fallen 36 percent since June 30 on bigger-than-

expected gains in inventory and lower crude oil prices.

Gas earlier touched $9.092.

Gas supplies are 6 billion, or 0.2 percent, below the five- year

average and 353 billion cubic feet, or 12.3 percent, below the

same period a year earlier, when stockpiles rose to a record,

the department said. The five-year average in storage to

start winter on Nov. 1 is 3.327 trillion.

Reduced imports of natural gas from Canada and declining

shipments of liquefied natural gas, lured away from the U.S. by

higher prices in Asia and Europe, is being countered by increased

domestic production, analysts have said.

Gas also fell as crude oil pared an earlier advance. Oil for September

delivery rose $1.26, or 1.1 percent, to $119.84 a barrel in New York.

Futures earlier touched $121.78.

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 6 2008

AUG 6 WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH : TARGET RS 358

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH : TARGET RS 530

S1 RS 367, S2 RS 363, S3 RS 358

R1 RS 373.50, R2 RS 377, R3 RS 381

PREFER SHORT AT RS 373.50 TO 374

STOP LOSS RS 377

TARGET RS 363

U.S. gasoline demand fell for a 15th consecutive week, as

motorists cope with high fuel prices by driving less,

according to a MasterCard Inc. report yesterday.

Demand last week dropped 3.4 percent from a year

earlier, MasterCard, the second-biggest credit-card

company, said in its weekly SpendingPulse report.

Nymex gasoline for September delivery fell as much as 1.89

cents, or 0.6 percent, to $2.9375 a gallon. Yesterday it lost

4.38 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $2.9564 a gallon, the lowest

close since May 1. Futures fell 13 percent last month, the

biggest drop since September 2006, as a slowing economy

cut demand for the fuel.

Tropical storm Edouard was downgraded to a depression after

it made landfall on the Texas coast, idling 6 percent of U.S. Gulf

of Mexico oil output. Edouard's wind speeds remained below

hurricane strength when it struck the Texas coast, according

to the National Hurricane Center.

The U.S. Energy department may say gasoline supplies fell

1.5 million barrels last week in its weekly report today, a

Bloomberg survey predicted.



Tuesday, August 5, 2008

UPDATES ON AUG 5 2008

AUG 5 TUESDAY

SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH: TARGET RS 358

LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH: TARGET RS 530

S1 RS 367, S2 RS 362, S3 RS 359

R1 RS 373, R2 RS 375.70, R3 RS 378

PREFER SHORT AT RS 373 TO 373.30

STOP LOSS RS 376

TARGET RS 367

Gasoline futures fell to a three-month low on speculation

Tropical Storm Edouard won't do much to disrupt crude

oil operations or refining along the Texas and

Louisiana coasts.

Gasoline for September delivery in New York fell 2.11 cents,

or 0.7 percent, to $2.9790 a gallon at 12:02 p.m. Singapore time.

Yesterday, the contract 8.41 cents, or 2.7 percent, to settle at

$3.0002 a gallon on the New York Mercantile Exchange,

the lowest close since May 2.

U.S. refineries ran at 87.2 percent of capacity in the week ended

July 25, down 6.5 percentage points from a year earlier, as high

prices of crude oil and declining gasoline demand cut

refining margins.

U.S. gasoline supplies probably fell for a second week as declining

profit margins curbed refinery output, according to a Bloomberg

News survey of analysts.

Gasoline stockpiles probably fell 1.75 million barrels from 213.6

million barrels the week before, according to the median of

responses by eight analysts before an Energy Department

report this week. Seven analysts predicted a decrease, and

one said there was a gain.